The Tennesse Titans can move one step closer to winning the AFC South title on Thursday when they face divisional rivals the Indianapolis Colts.
The Titans have not topped the standings since 2008 and will need to be at their best to get past a team that has given them plenty of headaches in recent years.
Both oufits head into the game in good form and a win for the Titans could prove too much with the season already at the halfway stage.
History Favours the Colts
It is fair to say that the Colts have enjoyed their games against Tennesee over the years. They have won 13 of their 18 games played in Tennessee since 1999 and the Colts’ new quarterback, Philip Rivers, also loves playing against the Titans. He has a record of 7-2 against them from his time with the Los Angeles Chargers.
However, the Titans go into this game knowing the importance of a win on home soil. Their record of 6-2 sits them at the top of the division and a victory on Thursday would give them a two-game lead with seven to play.
They are 4-1 at home so far this season, while the Colts’ loss to Baltimore means confidence levels could be lower than normal.
To say the Titans are at home, it is surprising to see Tennessee priced at
21/20 and they are worth backing at that price considering the advantages they have.
Expect a Slow Start in Tennessee
The Titans may have to be patient if they are to win this week, with their offence dropping off in recent weeks.
After scoring at least 31 points in four straight games this season, the Titans have not scored more than 24 in their last three.
They have been deemed slow starters by their critics, hardly ideal when playing against the Colts. Indianapolis’ defence has been instrumental this season so far, with their run defence among the best in the NFL.
The Colts have only conceded 300 passing yards in one game this season, but they may struggle to rescue the ball back.
Tennessee quarterback, Ryan Tannehill, has kept things tight this year and he is unlikely to be giving away any cheap ball. Thursday’s encounter could be a slow burner and under 24 first-half points is worth considering ahead of kick-off.
Brown Primed to Strike
When the Titans play, it is very common to see runningback Derrick Henry cause chaos. The Titans star is a man mountain and incredibly tough to stop, but that means there is more value elsewhere in the first touchdown market.
The Colts will have their work cut out on defence against Henry, but their run defence is better than their pass rush.
Wide receiver A.J. Brown has a similar strike rate to Henry so far this season and is
15/2 to score first.
*All odds correct at time of writing.