The big action at Newmarket on Friday unfolds in a 70-minute window, all of which will be broadcast live on ITV4 and live streamed on MansionBet. There is familiarity in these famous races, the Abernant Stakes, Paradise Stakes and Coronation Cup, but also major differences.
Abernant Stakes Betting Preview (14:25)
In the case of the Abernant, the first of the three races at 2.25, the familiarity comes mainly from the two-time winner, Brando (
11/8*), who was a close third last year in his bid for the hat-trick.
What is unusual about this race is the small field and, more pertinently, the time of year. Brando has an especially good record on softer ground and the ground here is likely to be really quick. He is effective on top of the ground, he won his first Abernant on good to firm, but in June, rather than April, following a dry spring this could be a level above.
A better bet is the unexposed four-year-old Oxted (
5/2), who improved on his final start in 2019 to win the Portland Handicap at the St Leger meeting. He previously finished second at the July course here at Newmarket, so the track will not be an issue and he clearly suits the sort of environment where they go quickly, so Group races are the natural next step.
Paradise Stakes Betting Tips (15:00)
The Paradise Stakes is normally at Ascot, of course, and is also a spring event turned summer in 2020. It is usually one of those unapologetic trial races, where big names make a rare drop to Listed level.
They sometimes get turned over, as Barney Roy and Accidental Agent have in recent years. With just a couple of weeks to Royal Ascot, it can be taken that Sangarius (
13/8), who plays the giant this year, is closer to peak fitness than those two were.
Sangarius looked a top prospect at two, winning his first two starts readily before proving a little disappointing in the Dewhurst behind Too Darn Hot. After a modest reappearance, he won the Hampton Court impressively at Royal Ascot but was not seen out again afterwards. The Royal meeting is presumably the target again, perhaps the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes now that the same owner’s Enable will head instead for the Eclipse. If he is two weeks away from a big run there, he is surely value at nearly 2/1 here.
Coronation Cup Betting Preview (15:35)
The Coronation Cup is not so out of place in the calendar, in fact it was always going to be run today, only at Epsom. It has attracted last year’s Derby winner, Anthony Van Dyck (
7/1), defending champion Defoe (
10/3) and dominant stayer Stradivarius (
They are all working up to something else, explicitly in Stradivarius’ case, so Ghaiyyath (
6/4) is the one. He is something of a frustrating horse, which is saying something considering he has won five Group races including the Grosser Preis von Baden by 14 lengths in September. He is fragile and, moreover, is a free-goer who needs to dominate small fields. He is likely to be fitter than most of these, so he could well dominate them in the manner to which his fans have become accustomed.
*All odds correct at time of writing