UFC 250: Nunes vs Spencer Betting Preview

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Our UFC tipster Jeff Fox got 6 out of 7 predictions right in his last preview post: let's see what he has to say about UFC 250.

UFC fighter Amanda Nunes in action

The UFC machine keeps rolling on, quarantine or not. UFC 250 takes place this Saturday from the UFC’s gym, the UFC APEX, in Las Vegas, Nevada. Sadly, it’s not the most star-studded event (check out the full fight lineup here), but it is real, live sports action and something real life we can bet on.

The main event pits the greatest female fighter of all-time (arguably, but most likely the case), Amanda Nunes, the current UFC Women’s Featherweight Champion and UFC Women’s Bantamweight Champion. She has been vocal about wanting to stay active and defend her titles in both weight classes, so this time out she’ll be defending the featherweight (145 pounds) strap. Her opponent will be Felicia Spencer, a Montreal-born, Florida-raised true 145 pounder, rather than a 135-pound bantamweight moving up for a title shot, as has normally been the case in the past.

‘Too Big, Too Strong, Too Good’

While Spencer seems like a very nice person (she is Canadian, after all), and has only one loss in nine pro fights (to legend Cris Cyborg), and has finished six of her eight vanquished opponents, she has no shot in this one. Hence the 2/15 odds in the double champ’s favour. Nunes is too big, too strong, and just too good to be beat by Spencer, or anyone else on the planet, at this point in her career. Now that I’ve jinxed her, let’s move on.

While you’ll have to thrown down a good chunk of change to make betting on Nunes worth your while, there are a few “live dogs” – underdogs – that I like on this card. Here are a few worth a look-see.

Live Underdogs on the UFC 250 Card

Cody Garbrandt prepares for UFC 250 action

Look no further than the co-main event, which is between bantamweight contenders Raphael Assuncao and Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt is the former UFC Bantamweight Champion, which probably explains why he’s the betting favourite. However, he has yet to win another fight since capturing this belt, and that was way back in December of 2016. Since that time he’s been (T)KO’d in three straight fights, showing a seriously lacking fight IQ, an inability to take power shots to the chin, and the lack of composure to avoid getting in fire fights that his chin isn’t able to handle. Yet, he’s at 4/6 for this fight. While Assuncao isn’t the heaviest of hitters, he does have knockouts on his resume and is a smart enough fighter to beat the former champ. Worth a gamble at 11/10.

I’m also liking Gerald Meerschaert at 21/20. He’s going up against Ian Heinisch, who is on a two-fight losing skid. Meerschaert is a submission wizard, with 22 of his 30 wins coming via tapout. This poses a problem for Heinisch, who tends to get taken down often in his past fights. If GM3 can get him off his feet, which seems likely, there’s a clear path to victory for him there. Meerschaert via submission might be a worthy prop bet.

Formiga to End His Losing Streak

Finally, Jussier Formiga at 21/20 is worth a look. Formiga has long been a top flyweight contender, and even beat the best 125 pounder currently in the UFC, Deiveson Figueiredo.  And he has only lost to the top of the division, which just so happened to be his last two opponents. So, his two-fight losing streak might be the reason he’s available at this enticing number. While his opponent on Saturday, Alex Perez, is a very good-looking young prospect, he has yet proven he is on the elite level yet. When he did have a step up in competition, he got knocked out by Joseph Benavidez. Formiga is worth a splash at 21/20.

Jeff Fox’s Tips for UFC 250

Jeff’s UFC 250 TipsOdds
NUNES v Spencer2/15
ASSUNCAO v Garbrandt11/10
MEERSCHAERT v Heinisch21/20
FORMIGA v Perez21/20

Where to watch: BT Sports 1 is showing UFC 250 from 1AM BST on Sunday 7th. The feature event of Nunes v Spencer is due to start after 4am UK time.

*All odds correct at time of writing

Jeff Fox offers expert insight into the world of MMA & UFC betting from his years of experience in the industry. His work has appeared in publications such as SI.com, St Louis Post-Dispatch, SLAM, Fighters Only Magazine & FIGHT!, among many others. Jeff shares his UFC betting tips with MansionBet readers on a weekly basis.
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