In prediction terms, UFC 250 was an unmitigated disaster for me, as I only pegged five of the 12 fights on the night correctly. This included hitting on none of the underdogs I suggested. Oops.
The good thing is, we can get back on the horse right away, as the UFC is running another card again this weekend in Las Vegas – UFC Fight Night: Eye vs Calvillo. But it’s a ridiculously weak fight card, at least on paper (check out the full fight lineup here). Booking fights in the middle of a global quarantine maybe isn’t as easy as UFC president Dana White makes it out to be. It also hasn’t helped the matter that several fights have had to have last minute replacement fighters subbed in due to various reasons (mostly the travel ban). There are plenty of sexier cards on the horizon, and not much else in the terms of “real sports” ongoing currently, so beggars can’t be choosy, I guess.
Regardless, we can still make ourselves some money from the affair. Perhaps not in the main event, however, as that matchup I’m finding hard to pinpoint a winner in. It pits women featherweight contenders Jessica Eye and Cynthia Calvillo against one another. It’s basically a pick ‘em on the board – Calvillo is at
20/23* and Eye at
5/6. Eye should have a distinct size advantage, having previously fought at 135 pounds, while Calvillo normally fights at 115 (this fight will be at 125). But I’m leaning towards Calvillo due to her wrestling skills and Eye’s propensity to get taken down often in fights.
Must-Win Fight for Espinosa and De La Rosa
As for the numbers I like on this card, there are a few. I like Jordan Espinosa at
4/7 in his bantamweight fight against Mark De La Rosa. This is a must win fight for both men, as Espinosa has lost two straight and De La Rosa three straight (which is normally an immediate ticket to a pink slip). I think Espinosa saves his UFC career on Saturday, as he’ll have a big size advantage over De La Rosa, and generally is a better fighter in all aspects of the sport.
Cifers a ‘Live Dog’ Versus Agapova
If you’re looking for a live dog, Hannah Cifers at
21/10 is intriguing. Cifers just fought on May 30th, and lost, making it two straight losses for her and less than two weeks between last fight and this Saturday. Which would explain why she’s the betting underdog. But I like her in this fight against newcomer Mariya Agapova. Cifers was looking good on her feet in her last fight before grappling wiz Mackenzie Dern took her down and submitted her. Agapova isn’t nearly the grappler Dern is, so I’m looking for Cifers to get a quick bounce back win.
Boston Strong vs Angel of Death
Let’s also go with ‘Boston Strong’, Charles Rosa at
29/20 over Kevin Aguilar. While it’s hard to bet against a guy nicknamed ‘Angel of Death’, Rosa’s grappling should carry the day in this matchup. While Aguilar is solid in his takedown defense, he isn’t as solid once he’s down on the mat. Meanwhile, Rosa is constant movement on the mat, looking to end the fight as quickly as possible. Which would make it three straight losses for Aguilar, probably bringing death to the Angel of Death’s UFC career.
The Sure Thing
It you’re looking for locks, Julia Avila at
1/6 is pretty much a sure thing. She’s facing the returning Gina Mazany, who was cut by the company last year and is only being called upon here as a last-minute replacement. Avila is too big and strong and hits way too hard for Mazany to handle.
Fingers crossed this week is better than the last.
Jeff Fox’s Tips for UFC Fight Night: Eye vs Calvillo
|CALVILLO v Eye||20/23|
|ESPINOSA v De La Rosa||29/20|
|CIFERS v Agapova||21/10|
|ROSA v Aguilar||29/20|
|AVILA v Mazanay||1/6|
*All odds correct at time of writing